Research progress on carbon emission forecast based on artificial neural network model
Author of the article:TAN Chuanjiang1, WANG Chao1, CHANG Hao1, DU Ruolan2, REN Hongyang2,3
Author's Workplace:1. Oil and Gas Engineering Research Institute, Tarim Oilfield Branch of PetroChina Co., Ltd., Korla, Xinjiang, 841000, China; 2. School of Chemistry and Chemical Engineering, Southwest Petroleum University, Chengdu, Sichuan, 610500, China; 3. Lab of Tianfu Yongxing, Chengdu, Sichuan, 610213, China
Key Words: Carbon emission forecast; Artificial neural network; Model building; Optimization
Abstract:
Carbon emission is a dynamic process influenced by
various factors and accurately forecasting these emissions is conducive in
developing reduction strategies. Traditional forecasting methods often fall
short of actual situations due to the dynamic, nonlinear, and social
characteristic of carbon emissions. The artificial neural network model,
capable of capturing the nonlinear patterns in time-series data, is widely used
to predict changes in carbon emissions at national, regional, and industrial
levels. Among them, BP (Back Propagation) neural network model and the LSTM
(Long Short-Term Memory) neural network model are particularly favored by
researchers for carbon emission forecast. The prediction accuracy of these
models can be enhanced by systematically categorizing the types of factors
influencing carbon emissions, enhancing the accuracy of input data, and
developing appropriate models that couple linear and nonlinear components. The
research reviews the application of artificial neural network models in carbon
emission forecast, offering guidance for the future development of carbon
emission forecast technologies.