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Issue:ISSN 1006-5539
          CN 51-1183/TE

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    Your Position :Home->Past Journals Catalog->2024 Vol.1

    Research progress on carbon emission forecast based on artificial neural network model
    Author of the article:TAN Chuanjiang1, WANG Chao1, CHANG Hao1, DU Ruolan2, REN Hongyang2,3
    Author's Workplace:1. Oil and Gas Engineering Research Institute, Tarim Oilfield Branch of PetroChina Co., Ltd., Korla, Xinjiang, 841000, China; 2. School of Chemistry and Chemical Engineering, Southwest Petroleum University, Chengdu, Sichuan, 610500, China; 3. Lab of Tianfu Yongxing, Chengdu, Sichuan, 610213, China
    Key Words: Carbon emission forecast; Artificial neural network; Model building; Optimization
    Abstract:

    Carbon emission is a dynamic process influenced by various factors and accurately forecasting these emissions is conducive in developing reduction strategies. Traditional forecasting methods often fall short of actual situations due to the dynamic, nonlinear, and social characteristic of carbon emissions. The artificial neural network model, capable of capturing the nonlinear patterns in time-series data, is widely used to predict changes in carbon emissions at national, regional, and industrial levels. Among them, BP (Back Propagation) neural network model and the LSTM (Long Short-Term Memory) neural network model are particularly favored by researchers for carbon emission forecast. The prediction accuracy of these models can be enhanced by systematically categorizing the types of factors influencing carbon emissions, enhancing the accuracy of input data, and developing appropriate models that couple linear and nonlinear components. The research reviews the application of artificial neural network models in carbon emission forecast, offering guidance for the future development of carbon emission forecast technologies.

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