输气管道第三方破坏风险因素的敏感性分析
Sensitivity Analysis on Risk Factors of the Third Party Damage in Gas Pipeline
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- 引用格式:
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蒋宏业,姚安林,么惠全,张照旭.输气管道第三方破坏风险因素的敏感性分析[J].天然气与石油,2011,29(1):0.doi:
.Sensitivity Analysis on Risk Factors of the Third Party Damage in Gas Pipeline[J].Natural Gas and Oil,2011,29(1):0.doi:
- DOI:
- 作者:
- 蒋宏业1 姚安林1 么惠全2 张照旭2
- 作者单位:
- 1.西南石油大学石油工程学院,2.中国石油西气东输管道公司
- 关键词:
- 第三方破坏；风险因素；敏感性分析；输气管道
Third party damage； Risk factor； Sensitivity analysis； Gas pipeline
- 摘要:
- 输气管道第三方破坏风险的诱因错综复杂、随机性高，为此建立了输气管道第三方破坏故障树。根据敏感性因素的概念和基本原理，通过对输气管道第三方破坏故障树底事件结构重要度的计算，分析了输气管道第三方破坏风险因素的敏感性，识别出了影响输气管道第三方破坏风险的主要因素，以期为输气管道第三方破坏风险的控制、安全管理提供依据。
Remote causes of the third party damage are very complicated and have very high randomness and the third party damage fault tree is established in order to identify these causes. Based on the concept of sensitivity factor and the basic principle，calculated is the structure importance of bottom events of the third party damage fault tree，analyzed is the sensitivity of risk factors of the third party damage in gas pipeline and identified are main factors affecting these risks in order to provide the basis of controlling and managing the third party damage risks.
