气田开发后期极限经济产量界限模型研究
Study on Boundary Model for Economic Limit Production in Later Gas Field Development Period
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- 引用格式:
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陈尘,程岚岚,李坤运,钟雨师,陈武,蒋芸,夏阳,宋春艳.气田开发后期极限经济产量界限模型研究[J].天然气与石油,2012,30(3):0.doi:
.Study on Boundary Model for Economic Limit Production in Later Gas Field Development Period[J].Natural Gas and Oil,2012,30(3):0.doi:
- DOI:
- 作者:
- 陈 尘1 程岚岚2 李坤运2 钟雨师1，3 陈 武1 蒋 芸4 夏 阳5 宋春艳6
- 作者单位:
- 1.西南石油大学 ，2.中国石油大港油田公司，3.中国石油西南油气田公司，4. 中国石油集团长城钻探工程有限公司，5. 长庆油田分公司第五采气厂，6.川庆钻探工程有限公司长庆钻井总公司
- 关键词:
- 气田；极限；天然气储量；经济产量；模型
Gas field； Limit； Natural gas reserves； Economic yield； Model
- 摘要:
- 在气田开发过程中，因受天然气储量和内外环境等诸多因素的影响，天然气产量将逐渐下降，而生产成本将逐渐增加，特别是开发后期气田，开采成本增加非常迅速，给气田天然气开采成本控制带来较大的压力。为此，通过对开发后期气田影响天然气界限经济产量的因素分析，运用投入产出分析结果，建立了不考虑气田目标利润和考虑气田目标利润的界限经济产量模型，并结合某气田的实际，分别计算出各自的极限经济产量界限，再运用SPSS软件建立了各自的回归分析模型，可为气田天然气进行产量决策提供科学依据。
In gas field development， gas output will decline gradually due to such factors as gas reserves and internal and external environments and production costs will increase gradually. Especially in later gas field development， production costs will increase rapidly. Analyzed are factors affecting gas output and production costs in later gas field development， adopted is the input-output analysis results to establish a boundary model for economic limit production， in which gas field target profits are considered and not considered. Combined with actual situations of certain gas field， calculated are limit economic yield boundaries respectively and adopted is SPSS software to establish regression analysis model respectively， which will provide scientific basis for deciding gas output in gas field development.
