基于层次分析法的LNG储罐风险评估
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- 引用格式:
-
冯文斌.基于层次分析法的LNG储罐风险评估[J].天然气与石油,2017,35(4):0.doi:
.[J].Natural Gas and Oil,2017,35(4):0.doi:
- DOI:
- 作者:
- 冯文斌
- 作者单位:
- 湖北新捷天然气有限公司
- 关键词:
- 层次分析法;风险评价理论;定性;预先危害
- 摘要:
- 为了研究一套简便合理的LNG储罐安全系数风险评估办法,结合针对事故后果的事件树法与针对宏观安全评级的风险评价理论综合分析法,先进行预先危险性分析,再通过预先危险性分析结论对LNG储罐单一模型进行层次分析,计算出LNG储罐各风险事件定量数据,最后对LNG工厂安全运行提出了具体的安全防范措施,有效预防或降低安全生产事故的发生。运用层次分析法进行安全分析便捷高效,对单一单元风险评估具有指导意义。
In order to study a simple and reasonable risk assessment method for safety factor of LNG storage tank, combined with event tree method and risk assessment theory comprehensive analysis method, the preliminary hazard analysis is carried out, and then the single model of LNG storage tank is analyzed upon the conclusions and the quantitative data of each risk event for LNG tank is calculated. Finally, this paper puts forward specific safety precautions for the safe operation of the LNG plant to effectively prevent or reduce the occurrence of the safety production accident. The research shows that the use of analytic hierarchy process is convenient and efficient, and it has guiding significance for single unit risk assessment.