2017年全球能源统计与未来展望
Statistics and Future Outlook of Global Energy in 2007
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- 引用格式:
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代晓东,于睿,刘晓娜,路用瑞,贾立新.2017年全球能源统计与未来展望[J].天然气与石油,2019,37(1):94-99.doi:10.3969/j.issn.1006-5539.2019.01.016
Dai Xiaodong, Yu Rui, Liu Xiaona, Lu Yourui, Jia Lixin.Statistics and Future Outlook of Global Energy in 2007[J].Natural Gas and Oil,2019,37(1):94-99.doi:10.3969/j.issn.1006-5539.2019.01.016
- DOI:
- 10.3969/j.issn.1006-5539.2019.01.016
- 作者:
- 代晓东1 于 睿2 刘晓娜3 路用瑞1 贾立新1
Dai Xiaodong1, Yu Rui2, Liu Xiaona3, Lu Yourui1, Jia Lixin1
- 作者单位:
- 1. 中国石油大学胜利学院,2. 东营市俊源石油开发技术有限公司,3. 黄河三角洲农业高新技术产业示范区管委会
1. Shengli College, China University of Petroleum; 2. Junyuan Petroleum Development Co., Ltd.; 3. Committee of Agricultural High-Tech Industry Demonstration Area of the Yellow River Delta
- 关键词:
- 2017年;BP公司;能源统计;能源展望;碳排放
2017; BP (British Petroleum); Energy statistics; Energy outlook; Carbon emission
- 摘要:
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全球能源生产与消费情况统计、分析和预测,对于各个国家发展战略有着积极的意义。基于BP公司每年发布的世界能源统计和未来展望,结合其他一些机构发布的相关数据,总结了2017年全球能源统计情况和未来发展预测。2017年全球一次能源消费增幅较大,高于十年平均增速(1.7 ),是2013年以来的最快增长。其中天然气增长最快,其次是可再生能源和石油,发电量增长2.8 ,能源消费增长的同时带来了2017年碳排放量1.6 的增长。BP公司基于“渐进转型”情景,对能源发展进行了展望,预计到2040年石油、天然气、煤炭和非化石能源将各占世界能源的四分之一,其中石油稳定发展,天然气增长强劲,煤炭放缓。电力占一次能源需求增长的近70 。用于发电的燃料结构将发生重大转变,可再生能源比例将从现在的7 增长至25 左右。同时预计能源使用导致碳排放在展望期大部分时间内仍会增长,到2040年约增长10 。
Statistics, analysis and forecast to global energy production and consumption are of positive significance to the national strategies.Based on BP company statistical review of world and outlook, and combined with data released by other agencies, the 2017 global energy statistics and future development is summed up.In 2017, global primary energy consumption increased significantly, higher than the average growth rate of ten years (1.7%), the fastest growth since 2013.Among them, natural gas grew fastest, followed by renewable energy and oil, and power generation increased by 2.8%.Energy consumption growth also brought about a 1.6% increase in carbon emissions in 2017.Based on the "gradual transformation" model, BP looks forward to the development of energy.It is estimated that by 2040, oil, natural gas, coal and non-fossil energy will each account for a quarter of the world's energy.Among them, oil is developing steadily and natural gas is growing strongly. Coal is slowing down. Electricity accounts for nearly 70% of primary energy demand growth.The fuel structure used for power generation will undergo a major shift,and renewable energy will increase from the current 7% to around 25%.At the same time, energy use is expected to cause carbon emissions to continue to grow during most of the horizon, increasing by about 10% by 2040.