中国工业行业视角下的石化业全要素生产率Malmquist指数研究
Study on total factor productivity Malmquist index of petrochemical industry from the perspective of China's industrial sector
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- 引用格式:
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何刚,DongphilChun,刘海峰,张学鹏,起发金,尹旭,白冬冬,陈彬源.中国工业行业视角下的石化业全要素生产率Malmquist指数研究[J].天然气与石油,2022,40(4):143-151.doi:10.3969/j.issn.1006-5539.2022.04.019
HE Gang, Dongphil CHUN, LIU Haifeng, ZHANG Xuepeng, QI Fajin, YIN Xu, BAI Dongdong, CHEN Biny.Study on total factor productivity Malmquist index of petrochemical industry from the perspective of China's industrial sector[J].Natural Gas and Oil,2022,40(4):143-151.doi:10.3969/j.issn.1006-5539.2022.04.019
- DOI:
- 10.3969/j.issn.1006-5539.2022.04.019
- 作者:
- 何刚1 Dongphil Chun1 刘海峰2 张学鹏3 起发金3 尹旭3 白冬冬3 陈彬源4
HE Gang1, Dongphil CHUN1, LIU Haifeng2, ZHANG Xuepeng3, QI Fajin3, YIN Xu3, BAI Dongdong3, CHEN Biny
- 作者单位:
- 1. 韩国国立釜庆大学校技术经营专门大学院, 韩国 釜山 48547; 2. 中国石油西南油气田公司规划计划处， 四川 成都 610051; 3. 国家管网集团西南管道昆明输油气分公司, 云南 昆明 650500; 4. 中国石油工程建设有限公司西南分公司, 四川 成都 610041
1. Graduate School of Management of Technology Pukyong National University, Busan, 48547, Korea; 2. Planning Department of PetroChina Southwest Oil & gas field company, Chengdu, Sichuan, 610051, China; 3. Kunming Oil and Gas Transmission Branch of Southwest Pipeline of State Pipeline Group, Kunming, Yunnan, 650500, China; 4. CPECC Southwest Company, Chengdu, Sichuan, 610041, China
- 关键词:
- 石化业;全要素生产率;中国工业行业
Petrochemical industry; Total factor productivity; China's industrial sector
- 摘要:
根据中国工业35个子行业在1998—2019年的行业数据,基于数据包络分析(Data Envelopment Analysis,DEA)的效率评价方法,考虑能源与碳排放因素的影响，运用全要素生产率Malmquist指数模型,对石化业全要素生产率进行分析。站在中国工业行业视角,考察了劳动力数量、资本存量、CO2排放空间投入水平、能源消费量、产出水平等因素对石化业全要素生产率的影响。通过对石化业全要素生产率的测算分解,从时间跨度、行业角度和全要素生产率构成等进行了分析,发现石化业处于中国工业行业生产率的前沿,对中国工业行业的生产率提升做出了贡献,但年均增长只有0.8%,说明提升空间很大。而石化业全要素生产率的提升得益于技术进步和纯技术效率的增长。处于效率前沿的石化业子行业是石油加工、炼焦及核燃料加工业，以及石油和天然气开采业。化学纤维制造业、化学原料及化学制品制造业以及橡胶制品和塑料制品业处于无效状态。根据分析结果提出了积极发展现代煤化工技术、新能源及先进能源新技术、石油炼制新技术、化工新材料新技术、节能环保新技术、高端装备与过程智能化新技术等六大核心技术,加大技术创新、数字化结构转型和产业升级,加强管理,大力提高资源的利用率,降低碳排放和能源消耗水平,积极推进节能减排,构建循环经济产业生态链等建议。
Based on the industry data of 35 sub-sectors in the China's industrial sector between 1998 and 2019, the total factor productivity of the petrochemical industry is analyzed based on the efficiency evaluation method of data envelopment analysis (DEA), using the total factor productivity Malmquist index, taking into account energy and carbon emission factors. From the perspective of the China's industrial sector, the influence of the labor force, capital stock, the spatial input level of CO2 emission, energy consumption, and output level of the industry department on the total factor of energy efficiency is examined. Through the component breakdown of total factor productivity of the petrochemical industry, the analysis was conducted from the time span, industry perspective, components that contributed to total factor productivity etc. It is found that the petrochemical industry is at the productivity frontier of the industry sector category in China and contributes to the productivity improvement of China's industrial sector. However, the average annual growth is only 0.8%, indicating that there is a lot of room for improvement. The improvement in the total factor productivity of the petrochemical industry benefits from technological progress and progress in pure technical efficiency. The petrochemical industry sub-sectors that are at the frontier of efficiency are petroleum processing, coking and nuclear fuel processing, and oil and gas production, in that sequence. Chemical fiber manufacturing, chemical raw materials and chemical products manufacturing, and rubber products and plastic products industries are in an ineffective state. According to the analysis results, six-core technologies are proposed to actively develop modern chemical technology for processing of coal, new and advanced energy technology, new petroleum refining technology, technology for new chemical material, new energy-saving and environmental protection technology, high-end equipment and new intelligent processing technology; to increase technological innovation, digital structure transformation and industrial upgrading, strengthen management, vigorously improve the utilization rate of resources, reduce carbon emissions and energy consumption level, actively promote energy conservation and emission reduction, build a circular economy industrial ecological chain and other recommendations.
