碳捕集利用与封存的管网布局最优成本路径——以准噶尔盆地为例
Optimal cost path for pipeline network layout for Carbon Capture,Utilization and Storage —A case study of the Junggar Basin
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- 引用格式:
-
鞠小玉,张盼盼,刘辅民,赵晓东.碳捕集利用与封存的管网布局最优成本路径——以准噶尔盆地为例[J].天然气与石油,2026,44(3):132-141.doi:10.3969/j.issn.1006-5539.2026.03.017
Ju Xiaoyu, Zhang Panpan, Liu Fumin, Zhao Xiaodong.Optimal cost path for pipeline network layout for Carbon Capture,Utilization and Storage —A case study of the Junggar Basin[J].Natural Gas and Oil,2026,44(3):132-141.doi:10.3969/j.issn.1006-5539.2026.03.017
- DOI:
- 10.3969/j.issn.1006-5539.2026.03.017
- 作者:
- 鞠小玉1,2 张盼盼1 刘辅民1 赵晓东3
Ju Xiaoyu1,2, Zhang Panpan1, Liu Fumin1, Zhao Xiaodong3
- 作者单位:
- 1. 中国石油大学(北京)克拉玛依校区工商管理学院, 新疆 克拉玛依 834000; 2. 中国石油大学(北京)克拉玛依校区碳中和与能源经济咨询研究平台, 新疆 克拉玛依 834000; 3. 中国石油大学(北京)克拉玛依校区石油学院, 新疆 克拉玛依 834000
1. College of Business Administration, China University of Petroleum(Beijing) at Karamay, Karamay, Xinjiang, 834000, China; 2. Carbon Neutrality and Energy Economics Advisory and Research Platform, China University of Petroleum(Beijing) at Karamay, Karamay, Xinjiang, 834000, China; 3. College of Petroleum, China University of Petroleum(Beijing) at Karamay, Karamay, Xinjiang, 834000, China
- 关键词:
- 源汇匹配;管网优化;CCUS;准噶尔盆地;成本路径分析
Source-sink matching; Pipeline network optimization; CCUS; Junggar Basin; Cost path analysis
- 摘要:
- 为实现“双碳”目标,亟需规模化部署碳捕集、利用与封存(Carbon Capture,Utilization and Storage,CCUS)技术以解决管网布局的高成本问题。以准噶尔盆地为例,系统梳理了其碳源分布规模、碳汇封存潜力,构建全生命周期成本最小化模型,在充分考虑捕集—运输—封存成本的基础上,融入区域地理条件、土地利用类型、人口密度等因素,应用节约里程算法与地理信息系统的最低成本路径优化法,结合优化求解软件和ArcGIS平台,得到了准噶尔盆地区域的CCUS管网布局最优成本路径。结果表明,准噶尔盆地具备规模化部署CCUS的优势,源汇空间匹配性、地质封存潜力及优化后的管网布局为西北地区低碳转型提供了可行路径,应积极推动准噶尔盆地的产业集群化布局、完善碳排放核算体系、设立专项财政支持机制及强化跨区域协同合作。研究成果可为准噶尔区域CCUS工程落地实施、高碳产业低碳升级提供科学依据。
To achieve the dual-carbon goals, large-scale deployment of Carbon Capture, Utilization and Storage(CCUS) technology is urgently needed to address the high-cost challenges of pipeline network layout. Taking the Junggar Basin as a case study, this paper systematically reviews the distribution and scale of carbon sources and the geological sequestration potential of carbon sinks in the region. A full life-cycle cost minimization model is developed, incorporating the costs of carbon capture, transportation, and sequestration, while integrating regional geographical conditions, land use types, and population density as influencing factors. By applying the savings algorithm and the least-cost path optimization method based on Geographic Information Systems(GIS), combined with optimization software and the ArcGIS platform, the optimal cost path for CCUS pipeline network layout in the Junggar Basin is determined. The results indicate that the Junggar Basin has distinct advantages for large-scale CCUS deployment. The favorable spatial source-sink matching, substantial geological sequestration potential, and optimized pipeline network layout provide a viable pathway for the lowcarbon transition of Northwest China. It is therefore recommended to actively promote industrial clustering of CCUS in the Junggar Basin, improve the carbon emission accounting system, establish dedicated fiscal support mechanisms, and strengthen cross-regional coordination. The findings provide a scientific basis for the implementation of regional CCUS projects and the lowcarbon upgrading of high-carbon industries.
